Progressive Caucus - Win or lose? Parsing the latest prognoses by political scientists

If you’re desperate to know the outcome of the November elections — and who isn’t? — the Progressive Caucus will try to provide answers, based on the best available prognoses by political scientists who do it for a living, as reported in the latest special pre-election issue of the journal Political Science and Politics. Eero Carroll will give a brief overview of two models that have consistently predicted outcomes in previous elections: Helmut Norporth’s “Primary Model” and Alan Abramowitz’s “Time for Change” model. After we go through predictions for the Presidential, House and Senate races, we'll take up other relevant topics, including our last-days push for victory.

 

Food, drinks, conversation 5:30-6:30 PM
Presentation and discussion, in the room and online:  6:30-7 PM
Contact Eero at [email protected] for Zoom instructions

WHEN

Wednesday, October 30, 2024 at 05:30 PM Stockholm Time

WHERE

Bamboo Asia
Storängstorget 3
Stockholm 115 44
Sweden
Google map and directions

CONTACT

Eero Carroll
[email protected]

2 RSVPs