News

Campaign Mystery: Why Don't Bernie Sanders' Big Rallies Lead To Big Wins?

Howard Dean says there's a deeper issue than numbers. Eventually the insurgent candidate needs to go from playing the role of agitating outsider to someone voters of all stripes can see as president. A speech with applause lines all your supporters can recite back makes for an amazing rally. "But it's also the thing that isolates you at the end, because you have to build a coalition."

Listen to full NPR report here.


How Every New York City Neighborhood Voted

One could argue that New York City is one of the most diverse places in the American landscape.  So how did the New York primary turn out demographically?

Check out this New York Times' interactive infographic for the Democratic Party.

Check out this New York Times' interactive infographic for the Republican Party.


April's Political Wine: Trumpism - Causes and Impacts

As a follow up to our April's Political Wine, here are links for further information:

How Trump Happened - It’s not just anger over jobs and immigration. White voters hope Trump will restore the racial hierarchy upended by Barack Obama.

Read the full Slate article here.

Feldman developed what has since become widely accepted as the definitive measurement of authoritarianism: four simple questions that appear to ask about parenting but are in fact designed to reveal how highly the respondent values hierarchy, order, and conformity over other values.

Read the full Vox article here.

Millions of ordinary Americans support Donald Trump. Here's why - When he isn’t spewing insults, the Republican frontrunner is hammering home a powerful message about free trade and its victims.

Read the full Guardian article here.

Death predicts whether people vote for Donald Trump.

Read the full Washington Post article here.

There’s powerful evidence that racial attitudes drive Tea Party support.

Read the full Vox article here.

Tar Heel family explains why they support trump.

Watch the full PBS News Hour report here.

Does Immigration Harm Working Americans? Many economists say no—but they may be too glib.

Read the full Atlantic article here.

Immigration is an intensely painful topic for a liberal like myself, because it places basic principles in conflict.

Read the full Paul Krugman's article from The New York Times here.


Your Taxes Are Being Spent on Making It Harder for Americans to Vote

Documents obtained by AP show Newby's ties to Kobach, the architect of voter ID and other restrictive voter registration laws around the nation that he says are needed to prevent voter fraud. Critics say there is very little voter fraud and Kobach's measures hurt voter registration and deprive eligible voters of the right to vote. Kobach had appointed Newby to be a county elections commissioner in Kansas, and helped him get the federal job that he took in November. "I wanted you in the loop, in part because of other issues in the past with the EAC," Newby emailed Kobach. "I also don't want you thinking that you can't count on me in an upcoming period that will tax our resources."

Read the full Esquire article here.


Global Presidential Primary Results!

The results are in! In an unprecedented turnout, up 50% from 2008, 34,570 voters cast their ballots from over 170 countries all around the world, through in person voting, by fax, email, and post, and the results are as follows:

Bernie Sanders received 69% of the vote in the Democrats Abroad’s Global Presidential Primary, Hillary Clinton 31%.

View the full Democrats Abroad page with each country's tallies here.


Bernie is crushing Hillary in a (real) primary no one noticed.

It’s interesting to note the strength Obama and Sanders both show among Democrats Abroad. Perhaps Democrats living in other countries have gained perspective on political possibilities in other places? Or a keener sense of global social injustice? Or, more prosaically, could it be that more moderate and conservative Hillary voters are more motivated to obtain and send in absentee ballots?

Read the full Daily Kos article here.


Primaires US: les démocrates azuréens ont voté ce samedi

Une centaine d'Américains ont participé au scrutin permettant aux membres du parti démocrate vivant à l'étranger de désigner les délégués qui éliront leur candidat à la présidentielle.

Read the full Nice-Matin article (in French) here.


Democratic and Republican Voters Have Vastly Different Priorities

Early exit polls showed a wide difference between Democrats and Republicans on whether they wanted a candidate to "have experience" or to "be an outsider." And that trend bore out across states — across the first nine Democratic contests, 74 to 86 percent of voters wanted a candidate who had experience. On the GOP side, it was only 34 to 46 percent.

And though Sanders is by no means inexperienced in politics, Clinton is the clear choice of Democratic voters who prioritize experience. Trump, meanwhile, is the quintessential outsider.

Given this stat, it's not at all a surprise that Clinton and Trump had such strong nights.

Read the full 4 Takeaways From The Super Tuesday Exit Polls NPR article here.


'FiveThirtyEight' Statistician Nate Silver Reports On The 2016 Election

Oh no, I have to say that on balance, I'm worried about the state of polling right now.

So traditional telephone polls - and let's take the best polls, like Pew Research, for example, who do call cell phones. Their response rates - so how many people actually respond to the poll, the ones they would like to respond - has gone from about 35 percent 20 years ago to I think it is 9 percent now. So they're kind of hoping the 9 percent of people they do reach are representative of the 100 percent of people they would like to reach.

In some sense, it's worked remarkably well. I mean, the polls were pretty good in the past two presidential elections. But we've seen cases in other democracies, such as the United Kingdom, for example, Greece, Scotland, Israel, where the polls were pretty far off on election day. And I think that should worry people.

Eventually, I think, like everything else, we'll lead our lives online, and online polling will be the standard. But people haven't really figured out what the kind of gold-standard methodology is for online polling.

Listen to the full NPR - Fresh Air interview here.


RIVIERA

Welcome, we are the Riviera Chapter within Democrats Abroad France. We serve Americans living in Alpes-de-Haute-Provence (04), Alpes-Maritimes (06), Var (83) and the principality of Monaco. Please join us for any one of our scheduled events year round, whether you live in the area or are a visiting fellow Democrat.

Otherwise, you may contact our Executive Committee here.

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